Evolución de la CoVid19 a partir de un Modelo SAIRV con tasa de transmisión variable ante precepción de riesgo, cuarentena y hospitalización. Caso Cuba
Abstract
A partir de la propuesta y estudio de una variante SEIR de modelo epidemiológico poblacional para representar la dinámica de transmisión de la CoVid19, con funciones que simulan acciones ante la percepción de riesgo y que distingue entre las poblaciones de infectados sintomáticos y asintomáticos (ver [5]), se presenta unanueva variante que considera exposición al virus y la diferenciación de personas en cuarentena y hospitalizados, además de infectados y asintomáticos libres en la población. Se realizó el ajuste de los parámetros, utilizando diferentes estrategias con vistas a simular el comportamiento de las variables esenciales para los objetivos de este estudio, según datos en Cuba.
Downloads
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Those authors who have published with this journal, accept the following terms:
a. The authors will keep their copyright and guarantee the magazine the right of first publication of their work, which will be simultaneously subject to the Creative Commons Attribution License that allows third parties to share the work as long as the author and first publication of this magazine are indicated.
b. The authors may adopt other non-exclusive license agreements for the distribution of the published version of the work (e.g., deposit it in an institutional telematic archive or publish it in a monographic volume) as long as the initial publication in this journal is indicated.
c. Authors are allowed and recommended to disseminate their work through the Internet (e.g.: in institutional telematic archives or in their web page) before and during the submission process, which may produce interesting exchanges and increase the number of citations of the published work. (See The effect of open access).
